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Former Iraqi Prime Minister Ayad Allawi: 'The belt of Baghdad has fallen'

June 12th, 2014
04:44 PM ET

By Henry Hullah

As ISIS (the Islamic State for Iraq and Syria) militants carve their way through Iraq, currently trying to take a power plant in Baiji that powers much of Baghdad, the Iraq and the U.S. governments are reeling from the fall of Mosul, Iraq’s second-largest city.

The first head of state following the fall of Saddam Hussein, Ayad Allawi, knows the lengths the country has gone in recent years to prevent events such as the current crisis. The military has been trained for years by the U.S., but many soldiers have laid down their weapons and fled in the face of the insurgents.

“They have nothing to fight for. Absolutely”, says Allawi. “They [Sunnis] have been disenfranchised, they have been oppressed, the situation has been getting out of control gradually. The forces of extremes have been thriving in Iraq, they [militants] have frankly been killing one thousand people, on average, a month and the government was unable and is still unable to do anything about it".

Amanpour asked if we are seeing the end of Iraq as we know it.

"Probably", replied Allawi. "It depends how it's going to be handled. But I think we are moving to a Syrianization kind of situation".

Are we moving in the direction of partition?

"Very possibly", said Allawi.

Is Baghdad, Iraq's capital, at risk?

"The belt of Baghdad has fallen". Allawi stated. "The outskirts are under the control of the armed people, the militants, the Sunni militants… The government of Baghdad is unable to challenge this, the government is unable to prevent explosions inside Baghdad."

This crisis, which could lead to partition in Iraq, Allawi acknowledged, seems to be crying out for intervention of some kind. Amanpour asked if Iran would intervene or if America, the country that had tried to train Iraq to avoid this very situation, would take steps.

"An American intervention would not be helpful. It will probably put oil on the fire. I think the Americans have lost their effort to, and their capability to, influence things in Iraq especially after they left and departed in 2011.”

“There are two players now in Iraq, two measured players: Iran and Turkey”, Allawi said. "But again they can't come nakedly in to Iraq".

Lakhdar Brahimi told the program earlier this week that the Syrian crisis will spread everywhere like "an infected wound." Does Ayad Allawi believe this is what has happened?

"What has happened in Syria has spilled over into Iraq and what happened in Iraq has spilled over into Syria".

Finally, the former Prime Minister put forward what he believes the leaders of Iraq need to do to prevent this crisis from cutting the country into pieces and the shocking conclusion of what he thinks will happen to the entire region if a partition of Iraq isn't prevented.

"The Iraqi players need to sit down and need to look deep and to salvage the country. If Iraq is dismembered, this will carry on to the rest of the region and it will be quite bloody".

Filed under:  Christiane Amanpour • Iraq • Latest Episode
soundoff (31 Responses)

    Reblogged this on The Middle East Talk and commented:
    The parliament allows this to happen by refusing to declare state of emergency.It is not about liking the prime minister. It is about controlling the issue currently.Parliament refusing to work with the prime minister just makes the idea of conspiracy more appealing to people.

    June 12, 2014 at 5:04 pm | Reply
    • Sun

      AlMaliki has all the power then why on earth he needs the state of emergency and he is responsible for everything( He said that), he never accepted going to the house to be questioned by the members of the house not once on different issues like; when 500 prisoners escaped from Abo Graib Prison and that was under his watch.

      June 12, 2014 at 11:37 pm | Reply
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  2. Sun

    Dr Ayad Allawy is the only one who could lead Iraq in a right way and the Sunnis accept his rule, Iraq and the region need him.

    June 12, 2014 at 11:27 pm | Reply
  3. Ariel

    Amanpour must be happy with her dear rebels' deeds. She so much rooted for them all along.

    June 13, 2014 at 7:49 pm | Reply
    • Sun

      Ariel, are you a republican?

      June 14, 2014 at 4:00 am | Reply
  4. Ali

    The terrorists have lost 1/2 of their gains in 48 hours. I don't understand why CNN is egging them on. CNN has presents one sided coverage, their editorial team will be very disappointed once the Iraqi army retake Mosul next week. Ayad Allawi spends 99% of his time in New Malden (london) where i live. He has a much better chance of becoming the Mayor of Kingston upon Thames than the prime minister of Iraq.

    June 14, 2014 at 8:34 am | Reply
    • Sun

      Dr Allawy is a very wise man and he knows people very well, strong, fair and secular, which exactly what Iraqis need now.

      June 14, 2014 at 3:31 pm | Reply
  5. Steve Evans

    You know what would be freaky... If Dick Cheney this in 1994 during an interview with the news media... What's that? He did predict it? Like word for word? There is even video evidence of it? You people need to stop with your conspiracy theories...

    June 29, 2014 at 3:54 am | Reply
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